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FT | Junk loan defaults hit 7.2%, highest since 2020

  • Editor
  • Dec 24, 2024
  • 1 min read

Updated: Dec 24, 2024


What's new: U.S. companies are defaulting on leveraged loans at a 7.2% rate, the highest level in four years, as they struggle to refinance debt taken during the pandemic's low-rate era.


Why it matters: Despite the Fed beginning to cut rates, many companies that borrowed cheaply during Covid are now buckling under high interest costs, signaling potential widespread financial distress.

The big picture: The surge in defaults contrasts sharply with the relatively stable high-yield bond market, highlighting how riskier borrowers have concentrated in the floating-rate loan market.


By the numbers:

  • Default rates reached 7.2% in October 2023

  • Over 50% of defaults this year came from distressed loan exchanges

  • High-yield bond spreads are at their tightest since 2007


Between the lines: Several factors are amplifying the risk:

  • A decade of uncapped growth in leveraged loans

  • Many new borrowers have fewer assets to recover in default

  • Looser loan documentation favors borrowers over lenders

  • Companies are using distressed exchanges to delay rather than solve problems


The bottom line: While some experts believe Fed rate cuts will provide relief, others warn that current "extend and pretend" strategies through distressed exchanges may only postpone an inevitable reckoning.


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